Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:39:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e77…dc4e
crypto · 22 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$7 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses13 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)22 / 22
History coverage39d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 22 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$43
7 days+$43
14 days+$43
30 days+$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $122 +$18 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$9 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$13 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 04 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 04 $1 +$10 +943%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 04 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 04 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 04 $45 −$37 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 04 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 04 $43 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $7 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $62 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $65 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $18 39d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 39d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $5 39d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 39d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $6 39d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 39d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 39d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 39d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 39d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +4.3% -5.6% 75% 67% +3.6%
≤30d 12 +4.3% -5.6% 75% 67% +3.6%
≤90d 22 +24.8% +12.9% 59% 45% -11.0%
all 22 +24.8% +12.9% 59% 45% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +12.9% 45% -11.0%
10% +2.1% 36% -19.5%
15% -7.8% 32% -27.3%
20% -16.8% 18% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 57 history records