trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +1.7% | -7.9% | 100% | 11% | -5.6% |
| all | 20 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 90% | 5% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -8.7% | 5% | -9.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -17.5% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $117 | $117 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May? | Jun 05 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May? | Jun 05 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | Jun 05 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | Jun 05 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $170 in May? | Jun 05 | $78 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in April? | May 04 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April? | May 04 | $69 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in April? | May 04 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Apr 07 | $179 | +$24 | +14% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? | Mar 20 | $337 | +$1 | +0% |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | Mar 16 | $35,615 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | Mar 15 | $14,611 | +$15 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | Mar 03 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | Feb 26 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | Feb 11 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6? | Feb 08 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 4 | Feb 05 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 3 | Feb 03 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 03 | $115 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | Jan 25 | $99 | $0 | +0% |