trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +40.7% | +27.3% | 33% | 33% | +44.4% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +18.1% | +6.8% | 30% | 30% | +15.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +18.1% | +6.8% | 30% | 30% | +15.9% |
| all | 10 | +18.1% | +6.8% | 30% | 30% | +15.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +6.8% | 30% | +15.9% |
| 10% | -3.4% | 30% | +4.8% |
| 15% | -12.7% | 20% | -5.3% |
| 20% | -21.3% | 20% | -14.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $100 | $133 | +$33 (+33%) |
| Spread: Argentina (-3.5) | Argentina | 8¢ | 9¢ | $50 | $53 | +$3 (+7%) |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Argentina | 20¢ | 20¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 20¢ | $30 | $37 | +$7 (+23%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $20 | $18 | −$2 (-9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Japan (-3.5) | Jun 21 | $20 | +$49 | +238% |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $56 | +$108 | +193% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $21 | −$7 | -33% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$4 | -18% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $36 | −$36 | -98% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $21 | −$7 | -35% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $41 | −$8 | -19% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $38 | −$7 | -18% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on | Jun 12 | $21 | −$11 | -51% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $113 | +$12 | +11% |