Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:15:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e62…64a7
crypto · 179 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$338 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$412 · open +$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$57
Realized−$412
Unrealized+$26
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses94 / 81
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions3
Markets (closed)175 / 179
History coverage91d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 3 History 175 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$33
14 days−$195
30 days−$214
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 31¢ 76¢ $21 $52 +$30 (+143%)
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton? Hamilton 87¢ 48¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-45%)
Who will finish higher: Colapinto or Gasly? Colapinto 87¢ 50¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-43%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Alex Palou win the 2026 Indianapolis 500? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $13 −$1 -5%
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $2 $0 -18%
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $3 −$2 -81%
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $9 +$1 +9%
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $3 $0 -12%
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo Jun 14 $10 $0 -1%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $12 +$16 +133%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Jun 13 $5 $0 -8%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $17 −$11 -68%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO Jun 12 $5 +$2 +47%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $7 −$6 -98%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -17%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 06 $106 −$72 -68%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 06 $3 $0 -5%
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 06 $61 −$55 -91%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Jun 06 $4 −$1 -35%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 06 $9 +$3 +34%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 06 $25 +$2 +10%
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix Jun 06 $24 −$3 -14%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 06 $140 −$36 -26%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $15 +$8 +51%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 202 May 30 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 27 $10 −$5 -45%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? May 26 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $15 +$15 +100%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $12 $0 -2%
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand P May 24 $5 +$2 +31%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $6 −$1 -17%
Will David Malukas win the 2026 Indianapolis 500? May 24 $16 −$7 -46%
Will Alex Palou win the 2026 Indianapolis 500? May 24 $13 −$6 -49%
Will Josef Newgarden win the 2026 Indianapolis 500? May 24 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 24 $5 −$1 -15%
Will Scott Dixon win the 2026 Indianapolis 500? May 24 $18 −$13 -73%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 24 $5 $0 -3%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $4 +$3 +76%
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the May 24 $11 +$2 +14%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $13 −$11 -80%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 24 $3 −$1 -29%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 24 $3 −$1 -29%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? May 24 $5 −$3 -60%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $8 +$13 +168%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $5 +$2 +36%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $5 +$2 +42%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22? May 22 $5 +$3 +54%
Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 20 May 22 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 27% −$138
other 22% +$158
politics 18% +$169
tech 17% −$503
culture 9% −$44
sports 6% −$15
economics 0% +$1
weather 0% −$10
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL Yes 16¢ $0 8m
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 70¢ $4 13m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL Yes 16¢ $3 13m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 24¢ $6 13m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL Yes 21¢ $0 14m
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 49¢ $5 15m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL No 59¢ $6 16m
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL Yes 46¢ $2 18m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL Yes 33¢ $3 18m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 34¢ $3 18m
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $2 18m
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 19m
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 52¢ $5 21m
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 3¢ $5 21m
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 35¢ $3 25m
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 24¢ $3 26m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 40¢ $4 31m
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo SELL Messi 59¢ $5 31m
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 46m
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $20 19h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $10 19h
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo BUY Messi 62¢ $5 22h
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P SELL Yes 100¢ $28 22h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 40¢ $10 22h
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton? BUY Hamilton 87¢ $5 23h
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo SELL Messi 61¢ $5 23h
Who will finish higher: Colapinto or Gasly? BUY Colapinto 87¢ $5 23h
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? SELL Yes 26¢ $5 23h
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 43¢ $5 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -9.3% -17.9% 35% 29% -30.8%
≤30d 51 -15.9% -23.9% 33% 29% -37.2%
≤90d 162 -11.7% -20.2% 51% 40% -15.4%
all 175 -9.9% -18.5% 54% 42% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.5% 42% -14.5%
10% -26.3% 27% -22.7%
15% -33.4% 19% -30.2%
20% -40.0% 13% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $57.13 · official $57.14 (match) · 733 history records