Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:41:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e56…ee9e
crypto · 1307 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$523 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$523 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$523
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses835 / 471
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1306 / 1307
History coverage24d
Avg bet$92
Trades / day78.8
Drawdown97%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1306 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,995
7 days−$1,713
14 days+$3,192
30 days+$523
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 60¢ $152 $0 −$152 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $161 +$81 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$54 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $157 −$152 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $55 +$38 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $196 −$196 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $203 −$203 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $194 −$194 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $196 −$196 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $202 −$202 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $238 −$238 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $198 −$198 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $203 −$203 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $235 −$235 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $58 +$34 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$62 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$18 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$8 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $154 +$116 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$35 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$9 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $181 +$104 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $48 +$35 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$9 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$538
other 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $161 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $61 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $157 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $55 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $154 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $60 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $158 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $48 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $54 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $158 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $56 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $77 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $19 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $57 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $14 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $57 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $18 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $17 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $32 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 974 -1.7% -11.0% 64% 64% -11.5%
≤30d 1306 -1.0% -10.4% 64% 64% -9.1%
≤90d 1306 -1.0% -10.4% 64% 64% -9.1%
all 1306 -1.0% -10.4% 64% 64% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 64% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 64% -17.8%
15% -26.8% 55% -25.8%
20% -34.0% 31% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $5.00 · 3500 history records