Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:26:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e52…849d
crypto · 236 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$61 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$61 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses141 / 95
Open positions0
Markets (closed)236 / 236
Avg bet$2
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 -5.8% -14.7% 72% 68% -15.4%
≤30d 168 -6.2% -15.1% 69% 64% -14.1%
≤90d 236 -8.8% -17.5% 60% 53% -21.5%
all 236 -8.8% -17.5% 60% 53% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.5% 53% -21.5%
10% -25.4% 28% -29.0%
15% -32.6% 17% -35.8%
20% -39.2% 11% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 660 history records