Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:25:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e51…4f13
crypto · 43 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses16 / 26
Open positions1
Markets (closed)42 / 43
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day77.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 35¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$19 +900%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +421%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -5.1% -14.2% 38% 33% -12.0%
≤30d 42 -5.1% -14.2% 38% 33% -12.0%
≤90d 42 -5.1% -14.2% 38% 33% -12.0%
all 42 -5.1% -14.2% 38% 33% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 33% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 31% -20.4%
15% -29.9% 26% -28.1%
20% -36.8% 21% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.04 · official $1.59 · 113 history records