Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:07:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e4a…c29f
crypto · 258 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$496 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$502 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$734
Realized+$502
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses114 / 140
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions4
Markets (closed)254 / 258
History coverage25d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day11.1
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 4 History 254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$467
7 days+$854
14 days+$715
30 days+$502
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Over 90¢ 90¢ $500 $497 −$3 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Over 76¢ 76¢ $200 $199 −$1 (-1%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Costa Rica? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Northern Ireland? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Jordan vs. Colombia end in a draw? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Yes 79¢ 0¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-05-29? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $501 +$48 +10%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $51 +$58 +114%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $198 +$19 +10%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $31 −$15 -48%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $303 +$126 +42%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $31 +$146 +474%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $51 +$37 +73%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $31 −$30 -98%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $51 +$31 +62%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $152 −$20 -13%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $51 +$47 +93%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Nigeria? Jun 11 $38 +$63 +166%
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 11 $31 +$147 +477%
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 10 $31 −$20 -66%
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 10 $31 −$30 -98%
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Iceland? Jun 10 $51 +$212 +414%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $202 +$72 +36%
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Iceland? Jun 10 $51 −$50 -98%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $30 +$21 +70%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $158 +$66 +42%
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Northern Ireland? Jun 09 $2 +$23 +1116%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $28 +$28 +100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $76 +$30 +40%
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Northern Ireland? Jun 08 $2 −$1 -65%
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Northern Ireland? Jun 08 $2 $0 -11%
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Northern Ireland? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Jordan vs. Colombia end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $71 +$42 +60%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $120 −$119 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 01 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 01 $7 +$5 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 01 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 01 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 01 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 01 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 01 $10 +$9 +88%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% +$358
other 28% +$296
crypto 13% −$158
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $21 24m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $21 24m
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 76¢ $201 27m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 90¢ $501 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 2h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 7¢ $16 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 91¢ $198 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $501 3h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 13¢ $31 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $51 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $51 4h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 22¢ $31 20h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 32¢ $31 20h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 16¢ $31 20h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 39¢ $31 20h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $303 29h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 18¢ $31 29h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 17¢ $31 29h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $51 29h
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $51 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 28¢ $49 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 56¢ $101 2d
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Costa Rica? SELL Yes 5¢ $10 2d
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Nigeria? BUY Yes 37¢ $38 2d
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Costa Rica? BUY Yes 14¢ $31 2d
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Costa Rica? BUY Yes 17¢ $31 2d
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Costa Rica? BUY Yes 18¢ $31 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 51¢ $51 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 61¢ $51 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +52.6% +38.1% 50% 44% +22.1%
≤30d 254 -6.4% -15.3% 45% 43% +4.5%
≤90d 254 -6.4% -15.3% 45% 43% +4.5%
all 254 -6.4% -15.3% 45% 43% +4.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.3% 43% +4.5%
10% -23.4% 43% -5.5%
15% -30.8% 43% -14.6%
20% -37.6% 41% -23.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $734.07 · official $734.07 (match) · 392 history records