Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e43…5d75
crypto · 111 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$294
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$921
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$294
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses7 / 102
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions2
Markets (closed)109 / 111
History coverage108d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$385
7 days−$385
14 days−$385
30 days−$385
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Under 64¢ 100¢ $595 $920 +$326 (+55%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Under 34¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-99%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 56¢ 0¢ $314 $0 −$314 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch? Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 15? Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $151 +$27 +18%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $316 −$314 -99%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? Apr 30 $330 +$164 +50%
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch? Mar 19 $258 −$72 -28%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 14? Mar 15 $333 +$40 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 14? Mar 15 $33 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 14? Mar 14 $273 +$190 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Mar 01 $40 +$20 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Feb 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Feb 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Feb 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% +$7
weather 27% +$184
other 24% +$61
crypto 6% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 84¢ $13 11m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 80¢ $45 12m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 72¢ $109 15m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 70¢ $121 16m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 61¢ $3 19m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 32¢ $23 43m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $35 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $28 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $3 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $67 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $176 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 41¢ $4 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 41¢ $6 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 80¢ $161 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $13 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $0 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $40 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $4 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $49 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $49 8h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 90¢ $32 9h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 77¢ $29 9h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 85¢ $90 9h
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? SELL Yes 99¢ $381 44d
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? SELL Yes 99¢ $99 44d
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? SELL Yes 99¢ $14 44d
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch? SELL Yes 57¢ $69 86d
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch? BUY Yes 63¢ $6 86d
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch? SELL Yes 60¢ $14 86d
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch? SELL Yes 63¢ $102 86d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-75.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -94.6% -95.1% 5% 5% -71.4%
≤30d 22 -94.6% -95.1% 5% 5% -71.4%
≤90d 24 -85.8% -87.2% 8% 8% -32.6%
all 109 -72.7% -75.3% 6% 6% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -75.3% 6% -14.5%
10% -77.7% 4% -22.7%
15% -79.8% 4% -30.1%
20% -81.8% 2% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $920.95 · official $920.95 (match) · 368 history records