trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -72.3% | -74.9% | 20% | 20% | -63.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -72.3% | -74.9% | 20% | 20% | -63.5% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -59.6% | -63.5% | 27% | 7% | -61.7% |
| all | 15 | -59.6% | -63.5% | 27% | 7% | -61.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -63.5% | 7% | -61.7% |
| 10% | -67.0% | 0% | -65.4% |
| 15% | -70.2% | 0% | -68.7% |
| 20% | -73.1% | 0% | -71.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $6 | +$1 | +22% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $9 | −$7 | -84% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | Apr 07 | $9 | −$4 | -42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Apr 07 | $4 | $0 | +8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Apr 07 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | Apr 07 | $6 | −$2 | -27% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | Apr 07 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | Apr 07 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | Apr 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | Apr 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Apr 07 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Apr 07 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |