Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T13:41:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9e2b…97ff crypto 42 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (123 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$4 (-5%) realized −$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate50%21W / 21L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day123.0pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$7
other 2% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (123 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-25.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -17.7% -25.5% 50% 31% -19.4%
≤30d 42 -17.7% -25.5% 50% 31% -19.4%
≤90d 42 -17.7% -25.5% 50% 31% -19.4%
all 42 -17.7% -25.5% 50% 31% -19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover123.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.5% 31% -19.4%
10% ← realistic here -32.6% 21% -27.1%
15% -39.1% 14% -34.2%
20% -45.1% 10% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 35% · top 2 46% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
29% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -18% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -19% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses21 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)42 / 42
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day123.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 42 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +16%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$5 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 140 history records