trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +2.5% | -7.3% | 30% | 10% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +2.5% | -7.3% | 30% | 10% | -9.2% |
| all | 25 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 44% | 8% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 8% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 4% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 04 | $29 | +$2 | +5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 31 | $6 | −$1 | -11% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 30 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $141 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 29 | $3 | +$1 | +35% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 28 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on June 3? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference? | Mar 29 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Mar 28 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| March Madness: Will 0 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4? | Mar 28 | $2 | −$1 | -63% |
| Will 'Alto Knights' gross less than 5-7m on opening weekend? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German electio | Mar 21 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Missouri vs. Oklahoma | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Massachusetts vs. St. Bonaventure | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Raptors vs. Magic | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 5? | Mar 04 | $16 | −$1 | -6% |