Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:20:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e27…9823
crypto · 39 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$16 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses25 / 12
Open positions2
Markets (closed)37 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day94.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 2 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$16
14 days+$16
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$4 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$13 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$8 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$17 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$20
other 2% −$2
tech 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -0.9% -10.3% 68% 65% -5.2%
≤30d 37 -0.9% -10.3% 68% 65% -5.2%
≤90d 37 -0.9% -10.3% 68% 65% -5.2%
all 37 -0.9% -10.3% 68% 65% -5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover94.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 65% -5.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 46% -14.3%
15% -26.8% 19% -22.6%
20% -33.9% 14% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.98 · official $2.98 (match) · 123 history records