Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:04:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e26…6a69
crypto · 38 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses25 / 11
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)36 / 38
History coverage2d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day30.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 2 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-0%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $27 +$5 +20%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $22 +$5 +23%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $22 −$21 -95%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 58% +$9
other 30% −$19
sports 12% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +4.2% -5.7% 69% 50% -11.2%
≤30d 36 +4.2% -5.7% 69% 50% -11.2%
≤90d 36 +4.2% -5.7% 69% 50% -11.2%
all 36 +4.2% -5.7% 69% 50% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 50% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -14.7% 39% -19.7%
15% -23.0% 17% -27.5%
20% -30.5% 11% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.95 · official $35.95 (match) · 113 history records