Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:02:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e23…5411
crypto · 136 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13,130 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,144 · open −$220
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$13,144
Unrealized−$220
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses39 / 96
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)135 / 136
History coverage347d
Avg bet$354
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 135 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days+$986
14 days+$986
30 days+$986
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $225 $5 −$220 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $472 $0 −$472 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $131 $0 −$131 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $227 $0 −$227 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $5,288 $0 −$5,288 (-100%)
Another US military action against Iran before August? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $235 −$225 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $207 +$197 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $573 +$841 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $316 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $213 −$200 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $213 −$200 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $319 −$300 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $239 −$227 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $316 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $160 −$150 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $107 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $208 +$237 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $313 +$478 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $158 −$36 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $155 +$113 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $367 +$340 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $237 −$225 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $259 −$250 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $159 +$1,010 +634%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $134 −$127 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $315 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $925 −$884 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1,095 −$1,050 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $470 −$450 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $518 −$500 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $419 −$400 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $310 +$284 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $363 −$350 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $260 −$250 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $732 +$1,777 +243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $477 −$450 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $261 −$250 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $366 +$843 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $159 −$150 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $311 −$300 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $256 +$123 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $466 −$450 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $671 +$571 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $159 −$150 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $416 +$500 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $158 −$150 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $260 +$308 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $210 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $989 +$2,555 +258%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% +$669
other 15% −$7,118
world 10% −$3,627
tech 9% −$3,288
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $27 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $105 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $105 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $106 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $26 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $105 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $104 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $104 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $262 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $259 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $131 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $32 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $49 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $27 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-31.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -24.9% -32.1% 28% 27% -5.5%
≤30d 74 -24.9% -32.1% 28% 27% -5.5%
≤90d 118 -17.2% -25.1% 32% 31% -10.4%
all 135 -24.0% -31.3% 29% 28% -34.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.3% 28% -34.8%
10% -37.8% 28% -41.0%
15% -43.9% 27% -46.7%
20% -49.4% 26% -52.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.09 · official $5.09 (match) · 436 history records