Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e20…5cf9
sports · 596 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$60 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$91 · open +$32
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$257
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$32
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses261 / 311
Est. fees paid−$49
Open positions24
Markets (closed)572 / 596
History coverage38d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day47.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 24 History 572 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 30¢ 100¢ $14 $47 +$33 (+233%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 70¢ 100¢ $14 $20 +$6 (+42%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Roberto Carballes Baena 72¢ 90¢ $14 $17 +$3 (+24%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 72¢ 100¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+38%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 44¢ 100¢ $6 $14 +$8 (+127%)
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Harmony Tan 72¢ 81¢ $12 $14 +$2 (+13%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 54¢ 50¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-9%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Daniel Galan 51¢ 69¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+35%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 68¢ 68¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 68¢ 98¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+46%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 69¢ 68¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 69¢ 66¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-4%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 73¢ 44¢ $12 $7 −$5 (-41%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 50¢ 58¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+17%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 31¢ 34¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+7%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 52¢ 42¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-20%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Kimmer Coppejans 45¢ 31¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-30%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 54¢ 55¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 50¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+100%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 49¢ 48¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 33¢ 32¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 33¢ 56¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+71%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 57¢ 42¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-25%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Darja Vidmanova 68¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+47%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Taro Daniel 77¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+29%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $14 −$6 -45%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $14 +$8 +54%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $14 +$1 +8%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $14 −$3 -24%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $14 −$3 -22%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $14 −$7 -52%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $14 −$6 -43%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $6 −$2 -37%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $8 $0 -1%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $14 +$2 +16%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $14 −$7 -52%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $14 +$17 +118%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $14 +$16 +111%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $4 +$5 +114%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $14 −$3 -22%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $14 −$6 -39%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $14 −$10 -71%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $14 +$9 +60%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $14 −$14 -98%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $14 +$15 +104%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 12 $14 +$2 +15%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $8 −$5 -59%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $14 +$6 +45%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $14 −$11 -75%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $10 −$7 -71%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $6 +$9 +146%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $10 −$2 -15%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $14 −$11 -78%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $6 +$14 +224%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $14 −$6 -44%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $14 +$3 +20%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $4 −$1 -36%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $4 +$4 +95%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $10 +$7 +73%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $4 +$2 +53%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $4 +$2 +45%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 +$1 +38%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $4 −$1 -25%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $14 +$8 +53%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $14 +$22 +156%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$51
other 3% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 45¢ $2 0m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 56¢ $2 7m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 68¢ $2 7m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 70¢ $2 7m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 70¢ $2 7m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 27¢ $2 8m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 67¢ $2 9m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 76¢ $2 10m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 76¢ $2 10m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 76¢ $2 10m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 53¢ $2 10m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 70¢ $2 10m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 70¢ $2 11m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 79¢ $2 11m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 32¢ $2 13m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $2 14m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 66¢ $2 16m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 66¢ $2 16m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 35¢ $2 17m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 69¢ $2 17m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? BUY No 55¢ $2 23m
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 77¢ $2 32m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 74¢ $2 48m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 74¢ $2 48m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 74¢ $2 48m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 74¢ $2 48m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 74¢ $2 48m
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 70¢ $2 51m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 65¢ $2 57m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 66¢ $2 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -0.7% -10.1% 47% 42% -10.8%
≤30d 164 -7.4% -16.2% 47% 43% -11.5%
≤90d 572 -7.3% -16.1% 46% 43% -12.1%
all 572 -7.3% -16.1% 46% 43% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 43% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 38% -20.5%
15% -31.5% 32% -28.2%
20% -38.2% 25% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $256.87 · official $256.88 (match) · 2203 history records