Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T22:37:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9e1f…cad8 crypto 333 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (995 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,767 (-19%) realized −$1,764 · open −$3
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +239% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +161% what you keep after slip
Net edge+161%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate63%209W / 122L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day995.3pace
Kalshi-fit64%portable
Net worth$56now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% −$1,611
other 13% −$171
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (995 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+206.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 331 +239.1% +206.8% 63% 60% -24.2%
≤30d 331 +239.1% +206.8% 63% 60% -24.2%
≤90d 331 +239.1% +206.8% 63% 60% -24.2%
all 331 +239.1% +206.8% 63% 60% -24.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover995.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +206.8% 60% -24.2%
10% ← realistic here +177.4% 44% -31.5%
15% +150.6% 37% -38.1%
20% +126.0% 35% -44.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -24% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +239% · $-wt -24% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +251% → late +227% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$24 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.4 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$56
Realized−$1,764
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses209 / 122
Open positions2
Markets (closed)331 / 333
History coverage1d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day995.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 331 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 75¢ 66¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 66¢ 50¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-23%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 166 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 26 $101 +$18 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$1 +14%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 26 $101 +$22 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$4 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 26 $101 +$21 +21%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 26 $11 +$1 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $101 +$17 +17%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$3 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$2 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$9 -85%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$3 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 26 $108 +$18 +17%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$3 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$9 -88%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$3 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$7 -66%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$9 -89%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$1 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$3 +30%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$3 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$2 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$4 +37%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$4 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 26 $101 +$17 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$1 -5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 26 $101 +$15 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$1 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$9 -89%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$2 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 26 $404 +$47 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$4 -36%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 26 $101 −$90 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 26 $101 +$15 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +24%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$10 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 26 $337 +$37 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$8 -78%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$3 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 26 $101 −$88 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 26 $101 +$22 +22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 26 $4 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 1m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $11 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $34 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $50 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $13 3m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $101 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $4 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $19 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $7 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $56.00 · official $19.25 · 1358 history records