trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.8% | -11.1% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 14% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 14% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 28 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 50% | 4% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.4% | 4% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -18.1% | 4% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 0% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -32.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $4 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 09 | $16 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 07 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 06 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jul 01 | $9 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Pr | May 27 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Will André Ventura be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 20 | May 21 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on May 16? | May 16 | $9 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 202 | May 15 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City | May 11 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | May 11 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | May 10 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | May 09 | $7 | +$2 | +25% |
| Will egg prices be less than $4.75 in April? | May 07 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ousmane Dembele be the top Champions League scorer? | May 07 | $2 | −$1 | -50% |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May? | May 06 | $9 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Apr 22 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on France in the first 100 days? | Apr 19 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days? | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York | Apr 18 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April? | Mar 29 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | Mar 25 | $12 | $0 | +0% |