Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:50:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e10…5721
other · 17 markets active 1h ago
6.5score
+$7,161 +39%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,111 · open +$50
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$414
Realized+$7,111
Unrealized+$50
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses7 / 7
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions3
Markets (closed)14 / 17
History coverage226d
Avg bet$1,080
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown15%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 3 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$398
7 days−$398
14 days−$398
30 days−$398
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 61¢ 72¢ $264 $314 +$50 (+19%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+2%)
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $504 $0 −$504 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $51 +$149 +291%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $51 −$29 -56%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $507 −$504 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $102 +$98 +97%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $51 −$41 -80%
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30? Dec 07 $500 −$500 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3) Dec 07 $500 +$720 +144%
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06? Dec 06 $1,028 −$927 -90%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? Nov 21 $498 +$530 +106%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 09 $7,623 +$6,624 +87%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) Nov 09 $6,067 −$757 -12%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 01 $300 +$1,153 +384%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) Oct 31 $641 +$666 +104%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% +$8,482
other 14% −$1,851
economics 3% +$530
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 61¢ $267 38m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $200 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 8¢ $22 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $507 15h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $20 46h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 8¢ $10 46h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $51 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $51 2d
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 20¢ $51 2d
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $51 2d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $51 2d
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $51 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $102 2d
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06? SELL Yes 4¢ $101 189d
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06? BUY Yes 41¢ $528 189d
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06? BUY Yes 51¢ $500 189d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3) BUY MOUZ 41¢ $500 189d
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30? BUY Yes 43¢ $500 195d
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? SELL Yes 64¢ $1,028 204d
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? BUY Yes 31¢ $498 206d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY T1 36¢ $2,669 216d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) SELL KT Rolster 52¢ $669 216d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY T1 66¢ $1,915 216d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY T1 78¢ $1,359 216d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY T1 77¢ $1,180 216d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY KT Rolster 39¢ $500 220d
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) SELL T1 100¢ $5,310 223d
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) BUY Top Esports 6¢ $100 223d
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) BUY T1 94¢ $4,996 223d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+34.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +8.7% -1.7% 33% 33% -52.9%
≤30d 6 +8.7% -1.7% 33% 33% -52.9%
≤90d 6 +8.7% -1.7% 33% 33% -52.9%
all 14 +48.2% +34.1% 50% 50% +26.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +34.1% 50% +26.2%
10% +21.3% 50% +14.2%
15% +9.5% 50% +3.1%
20% -1.2% 50% -7.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $414.42 · official $414.42 (match) · 46 history records