Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:33:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e03…6bbe
crypto · 18 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$1 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses3 / 14
Open positions1
Markets (closed)17 / 18
History coverage11d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$12 +225%
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Jun 13 $36 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 63% +$4
culture 35% −$2
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $17 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 43m
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? SELL Yes 50¢ $18 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 2h
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? SELL Yes 50¢ $2 7h
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? BUY Yes 52¢ $3 7h
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? SELL Yes 50¢ $2 7h
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? BUY Yes 52¢ $3 7h
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? BUY Yes 52¢ $3 8h
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? BUY Yes 52¢ $3 8h
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? SELL Yes 50¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +1.4% -8.2% 18% 18% -8.2%
≤30d 17 +1.4% -8.2% 18% 18% -8.2%
≤90d 17 +1.4% -8.2% 18% 18% -8.2%
all 17 +1.4% -8.2% 18% 18% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.2% 18% -8.2%
10% -17.0% 6% -16.9%
15% -25.0% 6% -25.0%
20% -32.4% 6% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.98 · official $1.98 (match) · 70 history records