Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:54:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e01…2d32
crypto · 47 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$5 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses42 / 4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)46 / 47
History coverage13d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 0¢ 76¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1? Jun 02 $6 +$4 +72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$1
finance 2% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -1.3% -10.7% 91% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 46 +0.3% -9.3% 91% 2% -9.3%
≤90d 46 +0.3% -9.3% 91% 2% -9.3%
all 46 +0.3% -9.3% 91% 2% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 2% -9.3%
10% -17.9% 2% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 2% -25.9%
20% -33.1% 2% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.59 · official $4.35 (match) · 95 history records