Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9dff…7fec
crypto · 332 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,060 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,025 · open −$35
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$339
Realized−$3,025
Unrealized−$35
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses160 / 303
Open positions1
Markets (closed)463 / 332
History coverage19d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day173.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 463 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,647
7 days−$2,647
14 days−$2,647
30 days−$3,025
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 53¢ 78¢ $192 $282 +$91 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 35¢ 22¢ $92 $57 −$35 (-38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$60 -760%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$566
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $17 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $31 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $13 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $17 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $20 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $28 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $31 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-41.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 345 -40.4% -46.1% 31% 21% -18.0%
≤30d 463 -34.9% -41.1% 35% 27% -18.0%
≤90d 463 -34.9% -41.1% 35% 27% -18.0%
all 463 -34.9% -41.1% 35% 27% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover173.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.1% 27% -18.0%
10% ← realistic here -46.8% 21% -25.8%
15% -51.9% 15% -33.0%
20% -56.6% 11% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $339.19 · official $329.30 · 3500 history records