Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:52:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9df3…83c7
sports · 159 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
−$2,597 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,128 · open +$104
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$388
Realized−$3,128
Unrealized+$104
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses111 / 47
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$384
Open positions1
Markets (closed)158 / 159
History coverage155d
Avg bet$311
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 1 History 158 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,527
7 days−$2,681
14 days−$2,291
30 days−$349
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Mattia Bellucci 56¢ 76¢ $284 $388 +$104 (+37%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $426 $0 −$426 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud Stefanos Tsitsipas 81¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini Matteo Berrettini 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Daniil Medvedev 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina Iga Swiatek 70¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic Novak Djokovic 66¢ 0¢ $1,100 $0 −$1,100 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $265 $0 −$265 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca Joao Fonseca 22¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5 Under 67¢ 0¢ $669 $0 −$669 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Joao Fonseca 47¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Lakers Lakers 7¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Rafael Jodar 35¢ 0¢ $202 $0 −$202 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Cavaliers 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut Jun 14 $246 +$42 +17%
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $771 −$527 -68%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $492 +$280 +57%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $920 −$430 -47%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $267 −$265 -100%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin Jun 13 $236 +$31 +13%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $173 +$62 +36%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $81 +$92 +114%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $435 −$354 -82%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $892 −$458 -51%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $631 +$262 +41%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $368 +$263 +71%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $319 +$50 +16%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $269 +$49 +18%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $789 −$522 -66%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $651 +$140 +22%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $544 +$107 +20%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $204 +$331 +162%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $2,499 −$1,761 -70%
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? Jun 07 $92 −$73 -80%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $161 +$49 +30%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $121 +$35 +29%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $505 +$220 +44%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $284 +$221 +78%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $43 −$42 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $206 −$202 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $739 −$257 -35%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 01 $293 +$167 +57%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $251 +$39 +16%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca May 31 $121 +$137 +114%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $96 +$23 +24%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima May 31 $61 +$35 +57%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe May 30 $103 −$43 -42%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon May 30 $193 −$91 -47%
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev May 30 $180 +$11 +6%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $2,521 +$382 +15%
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev May 29 $1,005 +$199 +20%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas May 28 $807 +$320 +40%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga May 28 $707 +$307 +43%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 28 $1,091 +$293 +27%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu May 28 $463 +$119 +26%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic May 27 $323 +$127 +40%
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublev May 27 $252 +$74 +29%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $241 +$17 +7%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier May 26 $162 +$78 +48%
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Prado May 26 $121 +$41 +34%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $94 +$35 +38%
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev May 25 $61 +$33 +54%
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jurij Rodionov May 25 $45 +$15 +34%
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert May 24 $25 +$19 +74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% −$2,259
other 35% −$903
crypto 5% +$138
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 56¢ $288 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut SELL Raphael Collignon 99¢ $288 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Raphael Collignon 84¢ $246 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili SELL Lorenzo Sonego 21¢ $244 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 64¢ $771 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $772 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $492 13h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 25¢ $490 14h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 46¢ $920 15h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $267 20h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin BUY Mattia Bellucci 88¢ $236 23h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 73¢ $173 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $173 34h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $81 40h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 10¢ $80 41h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $435 42h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 31¢ $427 44h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 29¢ $6 44h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 62¢ $892 45h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $893 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $631 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 99¢ $631 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 57¢ $368 3d
Will England win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 86¢ $319 4d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 100¢ $319 4d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 84¢ $269 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 19¢ $267 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $789 5d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? SELL Yes 99¢ $791 5d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 81¢ $651 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +1.2% -8.5% 60% 60% -31.8%
≤30d 57 +10.9% +0.3% 72% 68% -10.9%
≤90d 150 +4.4% -5.6% 70% 65% -13.7%
all 158 +4.5% -5.4% 70% 65% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.4% 65% -14.4%
10% -14.5% 47% -22.6%
15% -22.7% 30% -30.1%
20% -30.3% 17% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $387.90 · official $387.90 (match) · 342 history records