Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:27:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9df1…7776
crypto · 784 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,815 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,814 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized−$2,814
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses170 / 599
Est. fees paid−$92
Open positions14
Markets (closed)769 / 784
History coverage119d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day27.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 14 History 769 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$101
14 days+$92
30 days−$375
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-5%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+19%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+12%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-22%)
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-38%)
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Royal Challengers Bangalore 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $124 −$9 -7%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 +$29 +191%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $239 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $195 +$40 +21%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 10 $198 −$11 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 09 $32 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $77 +$54 +71%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 08 $20 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 08 $7 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 08 $27 +$37 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 06 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 05 $38 +$33 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 05 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 05 $30 −$18 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 05 $19 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 05 $24 +$46 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 05 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$3 +62%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $2 $0 +8%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $94 −$6 -7%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $91 +$4 +5%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 02 $36 −$29 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 02 $7 +$15 +208%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $20 −$20 -99%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $12 −$11 -98%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $13 −$8 -62%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 26 $67 −$66 -98%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26? May 26 $48 −$3 -7%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26? May 25 $35 $0 +0%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals May 24 $21 −$1 -5%
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers Lea May 22 $18 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET May 21 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 20 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 20 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET May 20 $69 +$1 +1%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians May 20 $15 −$14 -98%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20? May 19 $108 −$5 -5%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants May 19 $70 −$12 -17%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 18 $107 −$68 -63%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals May 17 $68 −$14 -21%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru May 17 $16 −$10 -64%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 51% −$1,357
sports 23% −$1,336
finance 16% −$44
other 6% −$55
world 3% −$19
culture 1% −$2
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $19 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $32 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14 BUY 28¢ $10 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 16¢ $10 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $44 3h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-45.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -6.6% -15.5% 31% 31% -0.1%
≤30d 57 -10.1% -18.7% 28% 19% -20.3%
≤90d 345 -33.3% -39.7% 22% 17% -28.9%
all 769 -39.8% -45.5% 22% 20% -29.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.5% 20% -29.0%
10% ← realistic here -50.7% 17% -35.8%
15% -55.5% 16% -42.0%
20% -59.9% 14% -47.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.68 · official $48.68 · 3500 history records