Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9dea…0d99
crypto · 118 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$331 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$331 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$331
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses49 / 69
Open positions0
Markets (closed)118 / 118
History coverage114d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 118 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$207
7 days−$385
14 days−$359
30 days−$216
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $61 −$31 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$28 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $99 +$70 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$19 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $44 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $67 −$34 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$41 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $35 −$33 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$83 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $98 −$96 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$36 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$49 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $94 +$150 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$9 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 10 $63 −$30 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 10 $43 −$41 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$30 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$16 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $42 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $42 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 10 $31 +$32 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 09 $39 +$18 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $19 −$7 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $31 +$11 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 09 $30 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $20 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 09 $47 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 31 $20 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 31 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 31 $51 +$26 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 31 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET May 31 $62 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 31 $31 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 31 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET May 31 $21 +$11 +53%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$331
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $17 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $17 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $17 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $13 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $17 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $17 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $78 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $17 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $17 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $17 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $40 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $22 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $129 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $14 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $24 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $15 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $24 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $24 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $24 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $24 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $15 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $41 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $15 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $15 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $15 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $26 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $33 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -24.6% -31.8% 36% 33% -28.8%
≤30d 63 -12.0% -20.4% 44% 43% -16.8%
≤90d 63 -12.0% -20.4% 44% 43% -16.8%
all 118 -13.2% -21.5% 42% 39% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.5% 39% -17.7%
10% -29.0% 36% -25.6%
15% -35.8% 31% -32.8%
20% -42.1% 26% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 313 history records