Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:41:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9dde…611c
crypto · 76 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$66 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$60
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses36 / 39
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)75 / 76
History coverage11d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day16.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 75 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$51
14 days−$60
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Up 41¢ 32¢ $15 $12 −$3 (-23%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$9 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$8 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$4 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $13 −$9 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 10 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$13 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$17 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$21 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $14 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Jun 09 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Jun 08 $12 −$12 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 08 $29 −$17 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 08 $8 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $11 +$18 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $16 −$9 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$4 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11PM ET Jun 08 $8 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10PM ET Jun 08 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8PM ET Jun 08 $16 +$15 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6PM ET Jun 07 $42 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5PM ET Jun 07 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4PM ET Jun 07 $12 +$11 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2PM ET Jun 07 $15 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1PM ET Jun 07 $37 −$27 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$4 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$63
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $16 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $6 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $18 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $15 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 +2.7% -7.1% 47% 46% -16.6%
≤30d 75 +2.9% -6.9% 48% 47% -16.4%
≤90d 75 +2.9% -6.9% 48% 47% -16.4%
all 75 +2.9% -6.9% 48% 47% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.9% 47% -16.4%
10% -15.8% 39% -24.4%
15% -24.0% 33% -31.7%
20% -31.4% 28% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.53 · official $11.53 (match) · 199 history records