Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:42:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9dd3…4054
sports · 223 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$132 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$132 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Net worth$27
Realized−$132
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses139 / 76
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)215 / 223
History coverage607d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 7 History 215 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$1
14 days+$6
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $165 Week of May 4 2026? Yes $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Pacers Hornets 55¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Hornets Bucks 69¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Washington Huskies Ohio State Buckeyes 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Vermont Catamounts vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 136.5 Under 99¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Oilers vs. Penguins Penguins 44¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Canucks vs. Rangers Rangers 54¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Kraken vs. Oilers Kraken 37¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? No $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? Yes $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Burundi win on 2026-05-26? Yes $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Wild vs. Penguins Penguins 51¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ducks vs. Blue Jackets Ducks 44¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 66¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Wild vs. Flames Wild 53¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $2 −$2 -97%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 03 $3 +$1 +42%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 03 $5 +$2 +44%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 03 $5 +$4 +73%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -94%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 02 $5 +$5 +97%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur May 26 $0 $0 -100%
Will Burundi win on 2026-05-26? May 26 $0 $0 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 26 $3 −$3 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25? May 26 $3 +$1 +36%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? May 26 $6 +$1 +13%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers May 26 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25? May 24 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25? May 24 $2 −$2 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24? May 24 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24? May 24 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? May 24 $1 $0 +11%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 11 2026? May 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $215? May 24 $10 $0 +1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $240? May 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET May 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET May 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? May 15 $0 $0 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026? May 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 4 2026? May 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $165 Week of May 4 2 May 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026? May 07 $0 $0 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 06 $10 +$2 +18%
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies May 04 $0 $0 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins May 04 $34 $0 -0%
Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini Apr 23 $0 $0 -100%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 23 $10 $0 +2%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox Apr 18 $35 $0 +0%
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Apr 16 $35 $0 +0%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Apr 07 $5 −$5 -100%
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? Apr 07 $38 +$1 +3%
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Mar 27 $1 $0 +14%
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 16 above $235? Mar 27 $25 $0 +0%
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 9 above $245? Mar 20 $25 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down on February 28? Mar 12 $5 $0 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 28? Mar 12 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Feb 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Sabres vs. Panthers Feb 28 $1 +$1 +108%
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY A Feb 28 $10 $0 +3%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 2 above $165? Feb 28 $20 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 33% −$35
other 32% −$65
politics 14% +$14
crypto 9% −$43
tech 5% −$1
world 4% −$3
culture 1% +$1
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 54m
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06- BUY 32¢ $3 54m
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $3 59m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 59m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 59m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 59m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 1h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY No $1 4d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes $0 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? BUY Yes $0 10d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes $0 10d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes $0 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? BUY No $1 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 10d
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 70¢ $3 10d
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves BUY Atlanta Braves 57¢ $5 10d
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Baltimore Orioles 69¢ $5 10d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes $2 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur BUY Clement Tabur $0 17d
Will Burundi win on 2026-05-26? BUY Yes $0 17d
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 50¢ $5 17d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Tampa Bay Rays 52¢ $3 17d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers $0 20d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25? BUY Yes $1 20d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 20d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25? BUY Yes 72¢ $3 20d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? BUY Yes 88¢ $6 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-24.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 28 -53.0% -57.4% 36% 25% -12.2%
≤90d 44 -48.7% -53.6% 41% 20% -10.7%
all 215 -16.3% -24.3% 65% 34% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.3% 34% -19.5%
10% -31.5% 22% -27.2%
15% -38.1% 16% -34.3%
20% -44.2% 12% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.92 · official $29.92 · 414 history records