Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T07:46:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9D 0x9dd2…c625 crypto 559 markets active 0h ago coverage 27d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$119 (-6%) realized −$119 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate30%169W / 390L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day54.2pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$87
14 days−$123
30 days−$230
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$225
other 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 302 -7.7% -16.5% 29% 14% -17.1%
≤30d 559 -9.5% -18.1% 30% 19% -19.5%
≤90d 559 -9.5% -18.1% 30% 19% -19.5%
all 559 -9.5% -18.1% 30% 19% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 19% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 8% -27.2%
15% -33.1% 4% -34.3%
20% -39.7% 3% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
37% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.33 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$119
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses169 / 390
Open positions0
Markets (closed)559 / 559
History coverage27d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day54.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 559 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$1 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$4 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$1 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$1 -31%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -25%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -45%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $2 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $3 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $2 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1563 history records