Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9dce…b663
crypto · 1923 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$148 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$148 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$148
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses1258 / 705
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1963 / 1923
History coverage26d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day76.9
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1963 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$439
7 days−$564
14 days+$10
30 days+$148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$648
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 853 -13.5% -21.7% 55% 54% -21.2%
≤30d 1963 +0.6% -9.0% 64% 63% -8.2%
≤90d 1963 +0.6% -9.0% 64% 63% -8.2%
all 1963 +0.6% -9.0% 64% 63% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 63% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 56% -17.0%
15% -25.7% 44% -25.0%
20% -32.9% 33% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records