Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9dcb…50fc
sports · 131 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$292 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$281 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$102
Realized+$281
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses56 / 72
Est. fees paid−$159
Open positions3
Markets (closed)128 / 131
History coverage48d
Avg bet$66
Trades / day12.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$124
7 days−$375
14 days+$74
30 days+$344
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 51¢ 50¢ $52 $52 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 58¢ 100¢ $29 $50 +$21 (+73%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 37¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 38¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 40¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 32¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Over 31¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jenson Brooksby 63¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 23¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 32¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 21¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner FlyQuest 53¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 49¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card) Belal Muhammad 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner paiN 41¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 22¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 43¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 MIBR 39¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BetBoom Team 41¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 39¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $107 +$43 +41%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $94 −$39 -41%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $155 +$52 +33%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $124 +$87 +70%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $64 −$9 -14%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $120 −$15 -12%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $55 +$45 +82%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $82 −$81 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $43 −$14 -32%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $75 +$66 +89%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $204 +$41 +20%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $112 −$38 -34%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 10 $50 +$50 +100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $48 −$6 -13%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $48 +$52 +107%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $101 +$59 +58%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $75 +$93 +124%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $57 +$43 +75%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $438 +$171 +39%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 09 $72 +$58 +82%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $71 −$70 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $41 −$40 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 09 $89 −$89 -99%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $216 +$84 +39%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $58 −$58 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $51 +$53 +104%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $52 −$51 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 08 $7 −$7 -94%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $91 +$98 +107%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $271 +$129 +48%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $54 −$53 -99%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $80 −$79 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $74 +$166 +224%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $181 $0 -0%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $91 −$90 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $49 −$48 -99%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $32 +$28 +86%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $35 −$34 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 06 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $252 +$48 +19%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $122 +$141 +116%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $41 −$41 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $33 −$33 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $39 +$41 +104%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $49 +$49 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$553
politics 2% −$190
other 1% −$70
crypto 0% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 27¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 41¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 41¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 41¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 41¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 41¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 41¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 41¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 97¢ $45 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 97¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 92¢ $28 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 43¢ $31 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 46¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 46¢ $9 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 46¢ $46 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 94¢ $94 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 65¢ $6 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 66¢ $7 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 67¢ $94 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 67¢ $7 4h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL No 88¢ $26 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 31¢ $5 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 31¢ $9 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 31¢ $1 10h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 38¢ $22 10h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 40¢ $5 10h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 40¢ $2 10h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 40¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 40¢ $32 10h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL No 73¢ $44 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -33.7% -40.0% 34% 32% -14.9%
≤30d 112 -7.0% -15.9% 45% 42% -5.1%
≤90d 128 -7.0% -15.9% 44% 41% -6.4%
all 128 -7.0% -15.9% 44% 41% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.9% 41% -6.4%
10% -23.9% 38% -15.3%
15% -31.3% 37% -23.5%
20% -38.0% 32% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $101.53 · official $101.53 (match) · 670 history records