Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:09:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9dc5…5a8d
other · 45 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$55 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,351 · open +$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,001
Realized+$4,351
Unrealized+$21
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses25 / 17
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$48
Open positions3
Markets (closed)42 / 45
History coverage356d
Avg bet$4,749
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit42%
Chart Positions 3 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11,234
7 days+$11,234
14 days+$11,234
30 days+$11,234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 100¢ $1,240 $1,999 +$759 (+61%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $320 $1 −$319 (-100%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $420 $1 −$419 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $2,038 +$3,517 +172%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5,061 −$5,000 -99%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1,001 +$31 +3%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $11,303 +$641 +6%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 12 $1,673 +$17 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $12,367 +$6,970 +56%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $16,307 +$2,701 +17%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $954 +$46 +5%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $4,973 +$2,050 +41%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $740 +$260 +35%
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch? Apr 23 $9,200 +$1,358 +15%
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch? Apr 23 $23,219 +$1,047 +4%
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? Apr 23 $5,290 −$5,290 -100%
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? Apr 16 $2,500 −$1,060 -42%
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? Apr 16 $456 −$456 -100%
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31? Apr 16 $6,464 −$6,464 -100%
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? Mar 01 $444 +$761 +172%
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch? Jan 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch? Jan 12 $1,308 +$1,452 +111%
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch? Jan 12 $7,500 +$614 +8%
Ranger FDV above $50M one day after launch? Jan 12 $30,877 +$3,840 +12%
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale? Jan 10 $255 −$255 -100%
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale? Jan 10 $500 −$500 -100%
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale? Jan 10 $45 −$45 -100%
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jan 10 $90 −$90 -100%
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale? Jan 10 $200 −$200 -100%
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale? Jan 10 $500 −$500 -100%
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale? Jan 10 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? Jan 10 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election? Jan 10 $281 −$257 -91%
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? Jan 10 $50 −$50 -100%
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale? Jan 10 $4,335 +$731 +17%
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale? Jan 10 $9,800 +$2,830 +29%
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? Jan 10 $1,400 +$817 +58%
Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale? Jan 10 $2,642 +$147 +6%
Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale? Jan 10 $6,458 +$826 +13%
Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale? Jan 10 $6,923 +$448 +6%
Lighter Airdrop on December 30? Jan 04 $7,588 +$1,352 +18%
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.8B and $2B? Dec 30 $7,000 +$377 +5%
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more? Nov 18 $195 +$5 +2%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Nov 18 $8,738 +$733 +8%
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? Nov 05 $9,989 −$7,989 -80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 65% −$3,036
tech 27% +$4,437
politics 4% +$391
economics 1% −$1,060
sports 1% +$3,098
finance 1% +$291
world 0% +$305
culture 0% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $160 2h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-26.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +23.6% +11.9% 90% 50% +8.5%
≤30d 10 +23.6% +11.9% 90% 50% +8.5%
≤90d 16 -5.4% -14.4% 69% 38% -9.2%
all 42 -18.9% -26.6% 60% 33% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.6% 33% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -33.6% 19% -16.5%
15% -40.0% 14% -24.6%
20% -45.9% 12% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,001.00 · official $2,001.00 (match) · 466 history records