trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +11.0% | +0.4% | 42% | 33% | +46.1% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +21.0% | +9.4% | 55% | 35% | +33.9% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +21.0% | +9.4% | 55% | 35% | +33.9% |
| all | 20 | +21.0% | +9.4% | 55% | 35% | +33.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +9.4% | 35% | +33.9% |
| 10% | -1.0% | 30% | +21.0% |
| 15% | -10.6% | 25% | +9.4% |
| 20% | -19.4% | 25% | -1.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 70¢ | 84¢ | $30 | $36 | +$6 (+21%) |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 77¢ | 99¢ | $15 | $19 | +$4 (+29%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 41¢ | 80¢ | $2 | $4 | +$2 (+97%) |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%? | Yes | 51¢ | 44¢ | $4 | $3 | −$1 (-15%) |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? | Yes | 28¢ | 92¢ | $1 | $3 | +$2 (+228%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 17 | $27 | +$28 | +105% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -73% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $7 | +$1 | +19% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$13 | +431% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $1 | +$2 | +180% |
| Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -35% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | Jun 10 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 08 | $13 | −$1 | -6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | Jun 05 | $10 | +$3 | +28% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | +$9 | +173% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | +9% |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 2? | Jun 02 | $1 | +$1 | +101% |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 2? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | -22% |