Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9dc0…d721
crypto · 490 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$22 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$24
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses363 / 126
Open positions1
Markets (closed)489 / 490
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day150.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 489 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$40
7 days+$24
14 days+$24
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +74%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 489 +1.7% -8.0% 74% 74% -7.5%
≤30d 489 +1.7% -8.0% 74% 74% -7.5%
≤90d 489 +1.7% -8.0% 74% 74% -7.5%
all 489 +1.7% -8.0% 74% 74% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover150.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 74% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 74% -16.4%
15% -24.8% 33% -24.5%
20% -32.2% 9% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.01 (match) · 878 history records