trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 4 | -16.8% | -24.7% | 50% | 25% | +2.2% |
| all | 26 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 46% | 8% | -5.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.5% | 8% | -5.9% |
| 10% | -21.8% | 8% | -14.9% |
| 15% | -29.3% | 4% | -23.1% |
| 20% | -36.2% | 4% | -30.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $27 | $27 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 11 | $47 | −$46 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 27 | $84 | −$82 | -98% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March? | Apr 02 | $369 | +$1 | +0% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves | Mar 23 | $159 | +$211 | +133% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 12 | $158 | +$1 | +0% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | Mar 02 | $158 | +$4 | +3% |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | Feb 06 | $156 | +$3 | +2% |
| US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026? | Jan 30 | $153 | +$2 | +1% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | Jan 25 | $143 | +$7 | +5% |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | Jan 19 | $120 | +$10 | +9% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 14 | $2 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 12 | $136 | −$1 | -1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Jan 03 | $138 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 29 | $135 | +$1 | +1% |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Dec 23 | $4 | +$1 | +28% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Dec 17 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 05 | $1 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Dec 03 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Nov 30 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Nov 27 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November? | Nov 21 | $1 | −$1 | -50% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Nov 19 | $136 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Nov 17 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | Nov 13 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Nov 09 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Nov 04 | $129 | +$1 | +1% |