Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9db1…c49a
crypto · 285 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$21 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$3
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses181 / 103
Open positions1
Markets (closed)284 / 285
Avg bet$1
Trades / day22.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 284 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days+$35
14 days+$30
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$24 +2243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 214 +8.1% -2.2% 64% 59% +0.5%
≤30d 284 +2.8% -6.9% 64% 57% -5.5%
≤90d 284 +2.8% -6.9% 64% 57% -5.5%
all 284 +2.8% -6.9% 64% 57% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 57% -5.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 45% -14.5%
15% -24.0% 31% -22.8%
20% -31.4% 23% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.43 · official $3.43 (match) · 667 history records