Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:19:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9daf…3314
crypto · 75 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$47 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$39 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized+$39
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses29 / 44
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)73 / 75
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day128.5
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$39
7 days+$39
14 days+$39
30 days+$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $29 $28 −$1 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 60¢ 88¢ $12 $18 +$6 (+47%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 0¢ 6¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$8 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$12 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$5 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$14 +341%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$16 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$107 +2015%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$10 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$6 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$45
sports 3% −$1
other 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $12 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $16 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $8 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $12 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $12 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $21 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 +6.4% -3.7% 40% 38% -5.5%
≤30d 73 +6.4% -3.7% 40% 38% -5.5%
≤90d 73 +6.4% -3.7% 40% 38% -5.5%
all 73 +6.4% -3.7% 40% 38% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover128.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.7% 38% -5.5%
10% ← realistic here -12.9% 30% -14.6%
15% -21.3% 26% -22.8%
20% -29.0% 14% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.20 · official $53.30 · 191 history records