Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:09:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9D 0x9daa…950b crypto 1397 markets active 5d ago coverage 66d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 65d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$317 (-9%) realized −$317 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate75%1088W / 367L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day36.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$410
7 days−$424
14 days−$782
30 days−$785
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$436
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 -70.3% -73.1% 17% 7% -86.0%
≤30d 930 -13.6% -21.9% 71% 9% -36.9%
≤90d 1455 -10.0% -18.6% 75% 15% -29.4%
all 1455 -10.0% -18.6% 75% 15% -29.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover36.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 15% -29.4%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 6% -36.2%
15% -33.5% 3% -42.4%
20% -40.0% 2% -48.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -22% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
78% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -22% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.25 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

66d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$317
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1088 / 367
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1455 / 1397
History coverage66d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day36.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1455 Trades
no open positions (227 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $59 −$59 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$2 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records