trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +22.2% | +10.6% | 100% | 50% | +16.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +20.6% | +9.1% | 86% | 43% | +19.4% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -14.4% | -22.5% | 64% | 36% | -8.7% |
| all | 70 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 79% | 36% | -21.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.2% | 36% | -21.3% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 16% | -28.8% |
| 15% | -31.5% | 7% | -35.7% |
| 20% | -38.2% | 6% | -42.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $3,076 | $3,065 | −$11 (-0%) |
| Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $53 | $53 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $1,859 | +$1,188 | +64% |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 0.5 | Jun 23 | $1,788 | +$94 | +5% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $196 | +$4 | +2% |
| United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5 | Jun 19 | $1,511 | +$267 | +18% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 | Jun 18 | $902 | +$601 | +67% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $924 | −$37 | -4% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 17 | $1,890 | −$1,890 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Apr 09 | $682 | −$682 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans | Apr 08 | $432 | −$432 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers | Apr 08 | $1,931 | +$314 | +16% |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | Apr 07 | $2,064 | +$617 | +30% |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | Apr 06 | $1,899 | +$165 | +9% |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026? | Apr 05 | $66 | −$66 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Feb 27 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | Feb 27 | $98 | −$98 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Knicks | Feb 27 | $3,611 | −$3,611 | -100% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-06? | Dec 07 | $7 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-06? | Dec 07 | $20 | +$2 | +8% |
| Bucks vs. Pistons | Dec 07 | $3,009 | +$573 | +19% |
| Jazz vs. Knicks | Dec 06 | $2,678 | +$331 | +12% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22? | Dec 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04? | Dec 05 | $19 | +$3 | +14% |
| Celtics vs. Wizards | Dec 05 | $2,098 | +$558 | +27% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22? | Dec 04 | $7 | +$3 | +43% |
| Rutgers vs. Ohio State | Dec 04 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Jets vs. Ravens | Dec 04 | $11 | +$1 | +11% |
| Seahawks vs. Titans | Dec 04 | $12 | +$2 | +14% |
| Will Ukraine win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Nov 21 | $9 | +$1 | +6% |
| Ravens vs. Browns | Nov 21 | $8 | +$2 | +25% |
| Grizzlies vs. Cavaliers | Nov 21 | $106 | +$23 | +22% |
| Nets vs. Magic | Nov 15 | $18 | +$2 | +14% |
| Minnesota vs. Oregon | Nov 15 | $23 | +$1 | +4% |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | Nov 15 | $18 | +$17 | +96% |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Nov 14 | $4 | +$1 | +19% |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | Nov 14 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Wizards vs. Celtics | Nov 14 | $29 | +$3 | +10% |
| Jazz vs. Pistons | Nov 14 | $40 | +$4 | +9% |
| Pirates vs. Orioles | Sep 11 | $137 | −$137 | -100% |
| Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-09-09? | Sep 09 | $100 | +$12 | +12% |
| Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election | Sep 09 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Montenegro win on 2025-09-08? | Sep 09 | $93 | +$7 | +8% |
| Titans vs. Broncos | Sep 08 | $576 | −$576 | -100% |
| Will Andorra win on 2025-09-06? | Sep 07 | $249 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Angola win on 2025-09-04? | Sep 06 | $668 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Qatar win on 2025-09-03? | Sep 04 | $168 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Qatar vs. Bahrain end in a draw? | Sep 04 | $489 | +$10 | +2% |
| Guardians vs. Red Sox | Sep 03 | $450 | −$450 | -100% |
| Blue Jays vs. Reds | Sep 03 | $159 | +$141 | +89% |
| Nets vs. Cavaliers | Apr 14 | $183 | −$84 | -46% |