Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:50:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d9c…0604
crypto · 2178 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$1,292 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,298 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,298
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses875 / 1136
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2011 / 2178
History coverage109d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day22.4
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 2011 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$130
7 days+$408
14 days+$759
30 days+$981
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 48¢ 2¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-97%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$7 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$8 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$8 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +111%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$10 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$9 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$15 +240%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$7 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$7 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$6 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$7 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$7 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$10 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$10 +168%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$6 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$7 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$8 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$7 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$7 +114%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,292
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $6 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $6 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $6 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $6 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $6 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $6 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $6 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $6 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $6 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $6 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $6 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $6 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 +60.0% +44.8% 64% 64% +45.6%
≤30d 626 +25.6% +13.7% 46% 46% +12.9%
≤90d 1872 +4.9% -5.1% 40% 40% +0.9%
all 2011 +10.4% -0.2% 44% 43% +1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.2% 43% +1.8%
10% ← realistic here -9.7% 43% -8.0%
15% -18.4% 42% -16.8%
20% -26.4% 42% -25.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.19 · official $2.69 · 3500 history records