trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 60% | 0% | -27.7% |
| all | 13 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 31% | 0% | -24.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.7% | 0% | -24.4% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -31.6% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 0% | -38.2% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 0% | -44.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Jun 27 | $125 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 08 | $245 | −$89 | -36% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 19? | May 05 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3? | Apr 07 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 25? | Apr 02 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 19? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 05 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 05 | $10 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 03 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Mar 02 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 01 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 01 | $16 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 28 | $39 | −$2 | -4% |