Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:21:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d94…017d
sports · 108 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$88,760 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$81,810 · open −$6,950
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$98,040
Realized−$81,810
Unrealized−$6,950
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses91 / 463
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Est. fees paid−$3,950
Open positions11
Markets (closed)554 / 108
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3,762
Trades / day2439.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 11 History 554 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$81,810
7 days−$81,810
14 days−$81,810
30 days−$81,810
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 39¢ 100¢ $8,954 $23,115 +$14,161 (+158%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? No 96¢ 100¢ $9,226 $9,623 +$397 (+4%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? Yes 84¢ 100¢ $6,352 $7,559 +$1,207 (+19%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 38¢ 44¢ $4,424 $5,200 +$776 (+18%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? No 93¢ 100¢ $4,384 $4,709 +$324 (+7%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03? No 96¢ 100¢ $4,444 $4,624 +$180 (+4%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 3¢ 100¢ $126 $4,198 +$4,072 (+3232%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 46¢ 56¢ $2,691 $3,253 +$562 (+21%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics Kansas City Royals 48¢ 100¢ $1,443 $2,989 +$1,546 (+107%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 71¢ 100¢ $1,866 $2,615 +$749 (+40%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 73¢ 100¢ $1,509 $2,076 +$568 (+38%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 75¢ 100¢ $1,537 $2,044 +$507 (+33%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies 68¢ 100¢ $1,366 $1,995 +$630 (+46%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians Tampa Bay Rays 62¢ 100¢ $1,143 $1,832 +$689 (+60%)
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs SK Gaming 84¢ 100¢ $1,423 $1,701 +$278 (+20%)
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-02? No 96¢ 100¢ $1,482 $1,539 +$57 (+4%)
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01? Yes 34¢ 100¢ $436 $1,293 +$857 (+197%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins Seattle Mariners 60¢ 100¢ $716 $1,198 +$482 (+67%)
LoL: L Guide Gaming vs Rising Gaming - Game 2 Winner L Guide Gaming 52¢ 100¢ $619 $1,189 +$570 (+92%)
Jiujiang: Keegan Smith vs Hayato Matsuoka Keegan Smith 47¢ 100¢ $544 $1,158 +$614 (+113%)
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Spurs 86¢ 100¢ $994 $1,150 +$156 (+16%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha Team Heretics 86¢ 100¢ $954 $1,105 +$151 (+16%)
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 84¢ 100¢ $868 $1,033 +$165 (+19%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 33¢ 18¢ $1,692 $943 −$748 (-44%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 69¢ 100¢ $649 $941 +$292 (+45%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? Jun 13 $9,226 +$794 +9%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? Jun 13 $986 −$1,972 -200%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? Jun 13 $287 −$575 -200%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03? Jun 13 $4,444 +$360 +8%
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,866 +$749 +40%
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 13 $1,366 +$630 +46%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $1,339 −$1,339 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifi Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-02? Jun 13 $3 −$6 -200%
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01? Jun 13 $1,615 −$1,615 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $716 +$482 +67%
LoL: L Guide Gaming vs Rising Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $908 −$908 -100%
Jiujiang: Keegan Smith vs Hayato Matsuoka Jun 13 $544 +$614 +113%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Jun 13 $994 +$156 +16%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha Jun 13 $954 +$151 +16%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02? Jun 13 $868 +$165 +19%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $649 +$292 +45%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $531 +$252 +48%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $777 −$25 -3%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 13 $229 −$229 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03? Jun 13 $134 −$134 -100%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Jun 13 $564 +$26 +5%
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $419 +$81 +19%
Valorant: HGE Esports vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase Jun 13 $433 +$16 +4%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03? Jun 13 $206 +$82 +40%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 13 $810 −$810 -100%
LoL: L Guide Gaming vs Rising Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Season Jun 13 $118 +$132 +113%
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Prestige (BO3) - European Pro League Re Jun 13 $82 +$168 +203%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $442 −$442 -100%
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Prestige - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $113 +$101 +90%
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $59 +$85 +144%
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $114 +$22 +19%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Jun 13 $132 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs low cortisol (BO3) - ESL Challenger Leagu Jun 13 $106 +$18 +17%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers Leag Jun 13 $285 −$285 -100%
Counter-Strike: Pitstop crew vs gothboiclique - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $76 −$1,001 -1324%
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 4 Winner Jun 13 $83 $0 +0%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01? Jun 13 $1,438 −$1,438 -100%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Stels - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $24 +$1 +4%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$12 +150%
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs low cortisol - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $12 +$5 +41%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Jun 13 $5 +$5 +113%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $0 $0 +138%
Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05? Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 13 $253 −$253 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$27,501
other 8% +$18,342
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 42¢ $462 11m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 42¢ $122 11m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 42¢ $298 11m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 42¢ $72 11m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 42¢ $1 11m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 42¢ $2 11m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 42¢ $2 11m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 42¢ $1 11m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 42¢ $420 12m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 42¢ $462 12m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 43¢ $430 12m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 43¢ $473 12m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 43¢ $473 12m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 43¢ $430 12m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 97¢ $485 26m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 97¢ $9 26m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 89¢ $445 33m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 89¢ $16 35m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 89¢ $4 36m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 2¢ $10 41m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 2¢ $1 41m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 53¢ $99 41m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 90¢ $630 41m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 90¢ $900 41m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 90¢ $450 41m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 97¢ $485 43m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 20¢ $20 43m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 86¢ $215 45m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 86¢ $430 45m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 23¢ $230 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-62.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 554 -58.4% -62.4% 16% 12% -22.8%
≤30d 554 -58.4% -62.4% 16% 12% -22.8%
≤90d 554 -58.4% -62.4% 16% 12% -22.8%
all 554 -58.4% -62.4% 16% 12% -22.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2439.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -62.4% 12% -22.8%
10% -66.0% 9% -30.2%
15% ← realistic here -69.3% 8% -36.9%
20% -72.3% 6% -43.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $98,039.90 · official $98,030.41 (match) · 3500 history records