Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:58:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d91…6816
sports · 655 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$52 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$221 · open +$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized−$221
Unrealized+$23
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses294 / 356
Est. fees paid−$127
Open positions5
Markets (closed)650 / 655
History coverage191d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 5 History 650 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$36
14 days+$83
30 days−$202
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner T1 21¢ 100¢ $6 $29 +$23 (+376%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 98¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 98¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 27¢ 26¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 44¢ 43¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 Under 27¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 5, 2PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot Linda Fruhvirtova 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Raphael Collignon 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Under 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Zagreb: Stefan Dostanic vs Chris Rodesch Stefan Dostanic 14¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 4, 8PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 Over 42¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) New York Yankees 42¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw? No 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5 Over 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Petrojet SC win on 2026-05-13? No 83¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Little Rock: Dane Sweeny vs Enzo Aguiard Dane Sweeny 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5 Over 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Haras El Hodood SC win on 2026-05-13? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Petra Marcinko vs Vera Zvonareva Vera Zvonareva 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-05-21? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $36 −$3 -8%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $55 $0 -1%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $36 −$4 -11%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 14 $55 +$2 +4%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $6 +$3 +52%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $24 −$2 -8%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $18 +$2 +12%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $18 $0 +2%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$2 +7%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$2 -6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$6 -19%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$8 +31%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $103 +$9 +9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$2 +6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $36 +$15 +42%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $48 +$1 +2%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $61 +$3 +4%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $12 +$4 +32%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $12 $0 +2%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $12 +$11 +90%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $30 −$8 -25%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 10 $27 +$1 +3%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $37 −$4 -10%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $54 $0 +0%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $48 +$2 +4%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $48 $0 -1%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $24 −$1 -4%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $24 −$2 -8%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $11 +$2 +18%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $18 $0 +0%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $18 −$1 -3%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $12 $0 -3%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $6 $0 +3%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$5 +44%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $12 $0 -0%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $30 +$1 +2%
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $12 +$1 +8%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Mast Jun 09 $6 −$2 -28%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $61 −$1 -2%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $102 −$2 -2%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen Jun 05 $146 +$17 +12%
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs Jun 02 $40 +$3 +7%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuit Jun 02 $83 +$33 +40%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $23 −$1 -5%
CD Cobresal vs. CD Ñublense: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $0 $0 +42%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 01 $1 $0 +31%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 01 $20 $0 -0%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija Golubic Jun 01 $1 $0 +2%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $6 −$6 -98%
Will CD Comerciantes Unidos win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $4 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% +$81
other 12% −$240
crypto 9% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 27¢ $6 0m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 44¢ $6 0m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 69¢ $6 0m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 67¢ $6 0m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 54¢ $9 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 29¢ $9 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 19¢ $6 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 36¢ $6 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 83¢ $7 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 72¢ $6 5m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 28¢ $5 5m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 30¢ $6 5m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 37¢ $9 7m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 63¢ $10 7m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $6 8m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 24¢ $6 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 39¢ $6 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $6 13m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 64¢ $10 14m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 77¢ $16 14m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 37¢ $6 17m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $6 19m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 95¢ $6 20m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 91¢ $7 20m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $6 20m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $6 24m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $6 27m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 28¢ $5 27m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 35¢ $6 29m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 32¢ $0 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 +0.5% -9.1% 58% 22% -6.4%
≤30d 468 -2.9% -12.2% 47% 39% -12.1%
≤90d 587 -5.1% -14.1% 46% 39% -11.5%
all 650 -7.0% -15.9% 45% 38% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.9% 38% -11.7%
10% -23.9% 31% -20.2%
15% -31.3% 26% -27.9%
20% -38.0% 19% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.58 · official $52.58 (match) · 2515 history records