Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:03:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d8a…94cb
weather · 403 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$558 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$561 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,494
Realized+$561
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses343 / 32
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Open positions27
Markets (closed)375 / 403
History coverage10d
Avg bet$173
Trades / day346.1
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 27 History 375 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$105
7 days−$287
14 days+$561
30 days+$561
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 98¢ 99¢ $620 $624 +$3 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 13? No 95¢ 90¢ $426 $405 −$21 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 12? No 99¢ 99¢ $307 $307 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $294 $299 +$6 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $299 $299 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $298 $298 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 13? No 98¢ 99¢ $294 $297 +$3 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 13? No 99¢ 98¢ $296 $294 −$2 (-1%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $258 $260 +$1 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $199 $200 +$1 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $178 $179 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $149 $148 −$1 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C or higher on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $139 $140 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $129 $130 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $120 $120 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $99 $100 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 13? No 99¢ 98¢ $79 $78 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $66 $67 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $42 $42 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $39 $39 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 13? No 98¢ 99¢ $29 $30 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 12? Jun 12 $240 +$1 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on June 12? Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Jun Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 12? Jun 12 $117 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on Jun Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $293 +$7 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 11? Jun 12 $240 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $308 +$16 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 11? Jun 12 $108 +$27 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 11? Jun 11 $239 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 11 $274 +$26 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 11 $296 +$4 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 11 $267 +$33 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 11? Jun 11 $40 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $294 +$6 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 11 $240 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on June 11? Jun 11 $237 +$4 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 11 $159 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11? Jun 11 $77 −$75 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1,980 +$18 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 11? Jun 11 $298 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 11? Jun 11 $59 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on June 11? Jun 11 $40 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 11 $294 +$6 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 85°F or below on June 11? Jun 11 $40 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 11? Jun 11 $119 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on June 11? Jun 11 $31 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 12? Jun 11 $132 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 11? Jun 11 $80 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 88°F or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $40 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on June 11 Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 11 $40 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on June 11? Jun 11 $47 +$1 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 11? Jun 11 $257 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $295 +$5 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Jun Jun 11 $293 +$6 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on June 11? Jun 11 $40 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $307 +$9 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $298 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on June 10? Jun 11 $4 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 104°F or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $45 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on June 11? Jun 11 $167 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on June 11 Jun 11 $299 +$1 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 11? Jun 11 $77 +$5 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 11? Jun 11 $231 −$38 -17%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 11? Jun 11 $210 −$37 -18%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $108 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 10? Jun 11 $308 +$8 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $40 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$554
tech 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $5 21m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $19 29m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $0 29m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $44 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $66 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $70 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $61 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 99¢ $267 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 98¢ $442 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 98¢ $59 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 99¢ $40 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 99¢ $40 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 99¢ $40 2h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $27 2h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 99¢ $40 2h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $40 2h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $20 2h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $6 3h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $40 3h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $40 3h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $40 3h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $19 3h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $7 3h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $40 4h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $59 4h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $40 4h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $19 4h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $40 4h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $20 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)+1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 317 -0.6% -10.1% 91% 4% -10.0%
≤30d 375 +12.1% +1.4% 91% 6% -8.8%
≤90d 375 +12.1% +1.4% 91% 6% -8.8%
all 375 +12.1% +1.4% 91% 6% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover346.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.4% 6% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -8.3% 3% -17.6%
15% -17.2% 2% -25.5%
20% -25.3% 2% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,494.05 · official $4,494.68 (match) · 3500 history records