Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:07:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9D 0x9d89…0b04 crypto 674 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (376 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,406 (-13%) realized −$1,406 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate42%280W / 394L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day376.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,009
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (376 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 674 -3.2% -12.4% 42% 41% -16.4%
≤30d 674 -3.2% -12.4% 42% 41% -16.4%
≤90d 674 -3.2% -12.4% 42% 41% -16.4%
all 674 -3.2% -12.4% 42% 41% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover376.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 41% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 41% -24.4%
15% -28.5% 39% -31.7%
20% -35.5% 32% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$13 · ×1.13 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,406
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses280 / 394
Open positions0
Markets (closed)674 / 674
History coverage6d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day376.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 674 Trades
no open positions (131 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$5 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$4 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$6 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $181 −$116 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $416 +$467 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$5 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$4 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $142 −$139 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $48 −$38 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $28 −$24 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$10 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$8 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$5 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$2 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$11 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$4 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$5 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$4 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$18 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$8 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$5 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$4 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$4 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$4 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$4 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$8 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$4 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $6 +$6 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$4 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$18 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$8 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$5 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$6 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$4 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$6 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$6 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$5 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$4 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $28 +$31 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $17 −$13 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$6 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$6 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$6 -80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2213 history records