trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -25.2% | -32.3% | 40% | 40% | -69.6% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -22.7% | -30.0% | 41% | 41% | -25.4% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -22.7% | -30.0% | 41% | 41% | -25.4% |
| all | 17 | -22.7% | -30.0% | 41% | 41% | -25.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.0% | 41% | -25.4% |
| 10% | -36.7% | 41% | -32.5% |
| 15% | -42.8% | 35% | -39.0% |
| 20% | -48.4% | 35% | -45.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 60¢ | 60¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 30¢ | 28¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $6 | −$14 (-70%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+11%) |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 46¢ | 46¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $4 | $5 | +$1 (+14%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 13¢ | $4 | $3 | −$1 (-18%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-18%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-72%) |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+10%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 15 | $16 | −$16 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Jun 15 | $5 | +$3 | +65% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak | Jun 10 | $1 | +$1 | +109% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres | Jun 10 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| HSBC Championships, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Aoi Ito | Jun 07 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $10 | +$20 | +197% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Jun 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Jun 05 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Jun 05 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Jun 05 | $126 | +$42 | +33% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | Jun 05 | $52 | +$38 | +73% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Jun 05 | $26 | +$18 | +70% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Jun 05 | $5 | +$3 | +68% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | Jun 05 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |