trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 100% | 0% | -7.3% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 100% | 0% | -7.3% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 94% | 12% | -7.4% |
| all | 41 | -16.2% | -24.2% | 68% | 29% | -8.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.2% | 29% | -8.3% |
| 10% | -31.4% | 29% | -17.1% |
| 15% | -38.1% | 27% | -25.1% |
| 20% | -44.1% | 10% | -32.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amine Gouiri: 3+ goals | No | 99¢ | 51¢ | $1,175 | $600 | −$575 (-49%) |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 39¢ | 62¢ | $2 | $3 | +$1 (+58%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists | Jun 28 | $1,153 | +$35 | +3% |
| Pedri: 4+ goals + assists | Jun 27 | $1,109 | +$57 | +5% |
| Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ goals | Jun 26 | $1,109 | +$11 | +1% |
| Ritsu Dōan: 4+ goals + assists | Jun 26 | $128 | +$1 | +1% |
| Jamie Leweling: 3+ goals | Jun 25 | $128 | +$1 | +1% |
| Lee Donggyeong: 3+ goals | Jun 25 | $128 | +$1 | +1% |
| Achraf Hakimi: 3+ goals | Jun 25 | $128 | +$1 | +1% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 3+ goals | Jun 24 | $128 | +$1 | +1% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ goals | Jun 24 | $128 | +$1 | +1% |
| Ivan Perišić: 3+ goals | Jun 24 | $128 | +$1 | +1% |
| Pedro Neto: 3+ goals | Jun 23 | $128 | +$1 | +1% |
| Bradley Barcola: 3+ goals | Jun 23 | $127 | +$4 | +3% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Austria? | Jun 22 | $126 | +$2 | +2% |
| Víctor Muñoz: 4+ goals + assists | Jun 21 | $125 | +$1 | +1% |
| Pelicans vs. Kings | Apr 03 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Islanders vs. Sabres | Apr 03 | $7 | +$4 | +64% |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Mar 30 | $8 | +$3 | +37% |
| Rangers vs. Wild | Mar 13 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canucks | Mar 13 | $4 | +$2 | +35% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Lightning | Mar 04 | $3 | +$2 | +52% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Feb 05 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Bruins vs. Lightning | Feb 05 | $7 | +$3 | +49% |
| Flyers vs. Avalanche | Jan 23 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Warriors | Jan 23 | $9 | +$4 | +43% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Avalanche | Jan 16 | $7 | +$3 | +37% |
| Flyers vs. Oilers | Jan 03 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Hawks | Dec 30 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Dec 30 | $9 | +$4 | +45% |
| Kraken vs. Ducks | Dec 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Islanders | Dec 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Heat | Dec 15 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Pacers | Dec 15 | $6 | +$4 | +61% |
| Pelicans vs. Nets | Dec 06 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers | Dec 01 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Pacers | Dec 01 | $8 | +$4 | +45% |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Suns | Nov 22 | $7 | +$3 | +43% |
| Bitcoin above $58,000 on July 19? | Nov 12 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Ethereum above $3,100 on July 19? | Nov 12 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Nic Carter vs. Coty Kuhn: Who will win? | Nov 12 | $2 | +$2 | +100% |
| Will Biden say "Ear" during Lester Holt interview? | Jul 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |