Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:30:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d7f…a66e
crypto · 12 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$110 -44%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$90
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses1 / 8
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)9 / 12
History coverage2d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day11.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 1 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$90
14 days−$90
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$30 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $30 −$30 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 36% $0
crypto 35% −$40
sports 28% −$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 54¢ $20 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $20 1h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 53¢ $30 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06- BUY 100¢ $30 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND BUY 6¢ $31 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND BUY 27¢ $31 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -14.9% -23.0% 11% 11% -69.8%
≤30d 9 -14.9% -23.0% 11% 11% -69.8%
≤90d 9 -14.9% -23.0% 11% 11% -69.8%
all 9 -14.9% -23.0% 11% 11% -69.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.0% 11% -69.8%
10% -30.4% 11% -72.7%
15% -37.1% 11% -75.3%
20% -43.3% 11% -77.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $30.02 · 25 history records