Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:41:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9D
0x9d76…f6f7
crypto · 688 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$154 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$152 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$152
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses386 / 301
Open positions1
Markets (closed)687 / 688
History coverage14d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day141.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 687 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$30
14 days−$128
30 days−$152
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 80¢ 57¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$154
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 208 +0.6% -9.0% 55% 44% -12.1%
≤30d 687 +1.0% -8.6% 56% 47% -13.3%
≤90d 687 +1.0% -8.6% 56% 47% -13.3%
all 687 +1.0% -8.6% 56% 47% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover141.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 47% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 33% -21.6%
15% -25.3% 19% -29.1%
20% -32.6% 11% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.88 · official $2.77 (match) · 3500 history records