trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 40% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 40% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 40% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 15 | -13.5% | -21.8% | 33% | 0% | -12.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.8% | 0% | -12.5% |
| 10% | -29.3% | 0% | -20.9% |
| 15% | -36.1% | 0% | -28.5% |
| 20% | -42.4% | 0% | -35.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 15 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 13 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York | Jun 26 | $9 | −$9 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | May 15 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 30 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Mar 27 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 20 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 17 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21? | Mar 15 | $12 | $0 | -1% |