trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 26 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.3% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $836 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $837 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $838 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $838 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $840 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $1,756 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 02 | $2,534 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 31 | $842 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $847 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $849 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 20 | $850 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 18 | $852 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $336 | −$60 | -18% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $1,842 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | May 12 | $911 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $916 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $914 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $919 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $780 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 30 | $922 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $928 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 26 | $929 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 22 | $930 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 20 | $931 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 18 | $932 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 16 | $933 | −$1 | -0% |